Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Geraghty vs Jae Hyun Park

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-18-1Record7-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Freestyle AcademyTeamKorean Zombie MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian GeraghtyNow 1578
If they win+12→ 1590
If they lose-12→ 1566
Jae Hyun ParkNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.47
Sig. strikes / min
0
25%
Strike accuracy
TBD
9.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
36%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian GeraghtyJae Hyun Park
15501600201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
14 (54%)
Submission
3 (43%)
5 (19%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Jae Hyun Park70%
Brian Geraghty 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jae Hyun Park a 70% favorite over Brian Geraghty in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1581), separated by just 3 points.

Brian Geraghty finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jae Hyun Park 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.