Brian Kelleher vs Marcos Breno
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-0Record16-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian KelleherMarcos Breno
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Breno53%
Brian Kelleher 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Breno a 53% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1638), separated by just 2 points.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Breno 88%.
Marcos Breno carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.