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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs Reece McLaren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record19-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamBoonchu Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian KelleherNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Reece McLarenNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
41%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
1.68
Takedown avg.
Not available
42%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.67
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Brian KelleherReece McLaren
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
10 (42%)
Submission
9 (47%)
6 (25%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Kelleher56%
Reece McLaren 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Kelleher a 56% favorite over Reece McLaren in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Reece McLaren's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Reece McLaren 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.