Brian Ortega vs Dan Hooker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record24-15-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
69"Reach 75"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Black HouseTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1764 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian OrtegaDan Hooker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brian Ortega and Dan Hooker within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1713), separated by just 2 points.
Brian Ortega enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brian Ortega finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Dan Hooker 75%.
Dan Hooker carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.