Brian Ortega vs Tommy McMillen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record11-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
69"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian OrtegaTommy McMillen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tommy McMillen66%
Brian Ortega 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tommy McMillen a 66% favorite over Brian Ortega in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Ortega's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1716), separated by just 0 points.
Brian Ortega enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tommy McMillen enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Brian Ortega finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tommy McMillen 91%.
Tommy McMillen carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.