Brianna Fortino vs Livinha Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record14-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'11"Height5'4"
62,0"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Maximo
What's at stake
Livinha Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Brianna Fortino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1644
If they lose-15→ 1612
If they win+15→ 1667
If they lose-17→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brianna FortinoLivinha Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brianna Fortino60%
Livinha Souza 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Brianna Fortino a 60% favorite over Livinha Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Livinha Souza's way (46%).
Livinha Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1627, a 25-point edge.
Livinha Souza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brianna Fortino finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Livinha Souza 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.