Combat Edge Intelligence

Brianna Fortino vs Tecia Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'11"Height5'1"
62,0"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Tecia Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Brianna Fortino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brianna FortinoNow 1627
If they win+17→ 1644
If they lose-15→ 1612
Tecia PenningtonNow 1658
If they win+15→ 1673
If they lose-17→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
42%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
57%
Strike defense
62%
2.50
Takedown avg.
0.54
45%
Takedown accuracy
14%
67%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Brianna FortinoTecia Pennington
1550160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
3 (33%)
Submission
1 (7%)
4 (44%)
Decision
13 (87%)

Combat Edge model read

Brianna Fortino58%
Tecia Pennington 42%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Brianna Fortino a 58% favorite over Tecia Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tecia Pennington's way (46%).

Tecia Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1627, a 31-point edge.

Brianna Fortino finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.

Brianna Fortino carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.