Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bruna Brasil
br

Bruna Brasil

“The Special One”

11-7-1StrawweightUFC

1605 Solid
Ketlen Souza
br

Ketlen Souza

“Esquentadinha”

17-6-0StrawweightUFC

1647 Solid

Tale of the tape

11-7-1 Record 17-6-0
Strawweight Division Strawweight
5'6" Height 5'2"
65" Reach 63"
115 lbs Weight 115 lbs
Insanis MMA 013 Team Carioca Academy

What's at stake

Ketlen Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Bruna Brasil carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bruna BrasilNow 1605
If they win+18→ 1623
If they lose-14→ 1591
Ketlen SouzaNow 1647
If they win+14→ 1661
If they lose-18→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.01
56%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.59
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
3.86
52%
Strike defense
53%
1.40
Takedown avg.
0.46
56%
Takedown accuracy
13%
61%
Takedown defense
54%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Bruna Brasil Ketlen Souza
1600 1650 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (12%)
6 (55%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Ketlen Souza60%
Bruna Brasil40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Souza a 60% favorite over Bruna Brasil in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Ketlen Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1605, a 42-point edge.

Bruna Brasil enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bruna Brasil finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Souza 65%.

Bruna Brasil and Ketlen Souza share 1 common opponent: Marnic Mann.

Bruna Brasil carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Head Kick · 2022
Marnic Mann
Win Decision - Unanimous · 2024