Bruna Ellen vs Isabella Araujo
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Isabella Araujo59%
Bruna Ellen 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Isabella Araujo a 59% favorite over Bruna Ellen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruna Ellen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1515), separated by just 3 points.
Bruna Ellen enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Isabella Araujo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bruna Ellen finishes 14% of wins inside the distance, Isabella Araujo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-6-0Record4-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'1"
65"Reach-
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team Nogueira CampinasTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502
If they win+24→ 1539
If they lose-24→ 1491
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruna EllenIsabella Araujo