Brunno Ferreira vs Edmen Shahbazyan
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Edmen Shahbazyan52%
Brunno Ferreira 48%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Edmen Shahbazyan a 52% favorite over Brunno Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Edmen Shahbazyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1707, a 26-point edge.
Brunno Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brunno Ferreira finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Edmen Shahbazyan 82%.
Edmen Shahbazyan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record17-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
72"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1644 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Edmen Shahbazyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Brunno Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1724
If they lose-15→ 1692
If they win+15→ 1748
If they lose-17→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brunno FerreiraEdmen Shahbazyan