Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'4"
72"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamSt. Charles MMA
What's at stake
Brunno Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jackson McVey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1720
If they lose-19→ 1688
If they win+19→ 1671
If they lose-13→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brunno FerreiraJackson McVey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brunno Ferreira73%
Jackson McVey 27%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Brunno Ferreira a 73% favorite over Jackson McVey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Brunno Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1652, a 55-point edge.
Brunno Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jackson McVey enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brunno Ferreira finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.
Jackson McVey carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.