Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'4"
72"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSt. Charles MMA
What's at stake
Brunno Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jackson McVey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1736
If they lose-19→ 1704
If they win+19→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brunno FerreiraJackson McVey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jackson McVey58%
Brunno Ferreira 42%Elo baseline: 39%
The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 58% favorite over Brunno Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brunno Ferreira's way (39%).
Brunno Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1648, a 75-point edge.
Brunno Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jackson McVey enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brunno Ferreira finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.
Jackson McVey carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.