Brunno Ferreira vs Nikolay Aleksakhin
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Brunno Ferreira54%
Nikolay Aleksakhin 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brunno Ferreira a 54% favorite over Nikolay Aleksakhin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1705), separated by just 2 points.
Brunno Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brunno Ferreira finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Nikolay Aleksakhin 62%.
Brunno Ferreira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record26-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1644 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAlexander Nevsky (Stary Oskol)
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brunno FerreiraNikolay Aleksakhin