Brunno Ferreira vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record24-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
72"Reach75″
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Brunno Ferreira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Vicente Luque carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1738
If they lose-17→ 1706
If they win+13→ 1720
If they lose-11→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brunno FerreiraVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Luque60%
Brunno Ferreira 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Luque a 60% favorite over Brunno Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brunno Ferreira's way (48%).
Brunno Ferreira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1707, a 16-point edge.
Brunno Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brunno Ferreira finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Vicente Luque carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.