Bruno Silva vs Chris Weidman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-0Record16-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach78"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
Chris Weidman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Bruno Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1635
If they win+13→ 1718
If they lose-19→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SilvaChris Weidman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Weidman57%
Bruno Silva 43%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Weidman a 57% favorite over Bruno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Chris Weidman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1648, a 57-point edge.
Bruno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Bruno Silva finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Chris Weidman 63%.
Chris Weidman carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.