Bruno Lopes vs Diyar Nurgozhay
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"Reach74"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Diyar Nurgozhay is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Bruno Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1650
If they lose-13→ 1618
If they win+13→ 1712
If they lose-19→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruno LopesDiyar Nurgozhay
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay64%
Bruno Lopes 36%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 64% favorite over Bruno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Diyar Nurgozhay holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1631, a 68-point edge.
Bruno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Diyar Nurgozhay 75%.
Bruno Lopes and Diyar Nurgozhay share 1 common opponent: Brendson Ribeiro.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.