Bruno Lopes vs Dustin Jacoby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record22-9-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach76"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
011 MMA TeamTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Bruno Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1666
If they lose-13→ 1634
If they win+10→ 1721
If they lose-14→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno LopesDustin Jacoby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Jacoby60%
Bruno Lopes 40%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 60% favorite over Bruno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1647, a 64-point edge.
Bruno Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dustin Jacoby enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Jacoby 73%.
Dustin Jacoby carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.