Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno Lopes

May 31, 2025 · ESPN+

DateMay 31, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueUFC APEX

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 31, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Dustin JacobyThe Hanyak |22-10-1Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno LopesBruno LopesBrunao |14-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Dustin Jacoby owns a 64-point Elo edge (good). Bruno Lopes shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Dustin Jacoby and Bruno Lopes across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Dustin JacobyBruno Lopes

Recent form

Dustin JacobyL W W W L · +8 Elo last 5

LWWWL

Bruno LopesL L L W W · -27 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Dustin Jacoby1695-16 last move

Bruno Lopes1631-17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Dustin Jacoby#37 of 177 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1695 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Da Woon Jung (rated 1733 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Dominick Reyes (rated 1701 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +8 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #36 Iwo Baraniewski, 2 ahead of #38 Lucas Fernando.

Bruno Lopes#80 of 177 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1631 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Marcos Brigagao (rated 1613 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Brendson Ribeiro (rated 1564 at the time): -38.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -27 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #79 Robert Lau, 0 ahead of #81 Grant Neal.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Dustin JacobyNow 1695 · #37 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1705

Loses by decision-14→ 1681

Bruno LopesNow 1631 · #80 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1650

Loses by decision-13→ 1618

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Dustin JacobyvsBruno Lopes

Takedown average

0.32vs1.93

Sig. strikes landed per min

5.40vs2.88

Takedown accuracy

13%vs22%

Takedown defense

62%vs100%

Finishing profile

Dustin JacobyKO/TKO leads 68% of wins

Bruno LopesKO/TKO leads 43% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Dustin JacobyBruno Lopes

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.40Sig. strikes landed per min2.88

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

48Sig. strike accuracy43

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

3.92Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.21

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

58Sig. strike defense54

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

0.32Takedown average1.93

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

13Takedown accuracy22

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

62Takedown defense100

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0Submission average0

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

15Wins by knockout6

1Wins by submission5

6Wins by decision3

3Losses by knockout4

2Losses by submission0

5Losses by decision0

Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno Lopes is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BLANCHFIELD VS BARBER. Dustin Jacoby enters with a 22-10-1 record and Bruno Lopes enters with a 14-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.