Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Lopes vs Navajo Stirling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bruno Lopes
br

Bruno Lopes

“Brunao”

14-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach79"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
011 MMA TeamTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

Navajo Stirling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Bruno Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bruno LopesNow 1648
If they win+20→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1636
Navajo StirlingNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-20→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.88
Sig. strikes / min
6.24
43%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
54%
Strike defense
58%
1.93
Takedown avg.
0.86
22%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bruno LopesNavajo Stirling
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
5 (36%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (21%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Navajo Stirling81%
Bruno Lopes 19%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 81% favorite over Bruno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Navajo Stirling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1648, a 86-point edge.

Bruno Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Navajo Stirling 60%.

Navajo Stirling carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.