Bruno Lopes vs Navajo Stirling
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Navajo Stirling82%
Bruno Lopes 18%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 82% favorite over Bruno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Navajo Stirling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1631, a 130-point edge.
Bruno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Navajo Stirling 64%.
Navajo Stirling carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record11-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach79"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
011 MMA TeamTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Navajo Stirling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Bruno Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1653
If they lose-10→ 1621
If they win+10→ 1771
If they lose-22→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruno LopesNavajo Stirling