Bruno Pudins vs Derek Campos
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Derek Campos56%
Bruno Pudins 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Derek Campos a 56% favorite over Bruno Pudins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1477 vs 1485), separated by just 8 points.
Derek Campos enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Derek Campos 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record20-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach68.5"
185 lbsWeight176 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1502
If they lose-23→ 1454
If they win+12→ 1497
If they lose-12→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruno PudinsDerek Campos