Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Silva vs Carlos Candelario

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-2Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
65"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight129 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno SilvaNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Carlos CandelarioNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
51%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.17
52%
Strike defense
44%
2.01
Takedown avg.
2.28
25%
Takedown accuracy
36%
72%
Takedown defense
54%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Bruno SilvaCarlos Candelario
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
5 (33%)
Submission
3 (38%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Silva60%
Carlos Candelario 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Silva a 60% favorite over Carlos Candelario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1614), separated by just 5 points.

Bruno Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlos Candelario enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bruno Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Candelario 63%.

Carlos Candelario carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.