Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Barberena vs Darian Weeks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record8-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"Reach 72"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gym-OTeamHulett House Gym

What's at stake

Bryan Barberena is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Darian Weeks carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bryan BarberenaNow 1627
If they win+11→ 1638
If they lose-13→ 1614
Darian WeeksNow 1593
If they win+18→ 1611
If they lose-14→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.35
Sig. strikes / min
4.49
48%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.56
44%
Strike defense
52%
0.13
Takedown avg.
2
22%
Takedown accuracy
30%
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0.27
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bryan BarberenaDarian Weeks
15501600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
2 (11%)
Submission
1 (13%)
5 (28%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bryan Barberena and Darian Weeks within a point of even.

Bryan Barberena holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1593, a 34-point edge.

Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Darian Weeks 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.