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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Barberena vs Gerald Meerschaert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record37-22-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
72"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gym-OTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryan BarberenaNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
Gerald MeerschaertNow 1634
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
48%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
44%
Strike defense
54%
0.13
Takedown avg.
1.70
22%
Takedown accuracy
7%
50%
Takedown defense
40%
0.27
Submission avg.
1.49

Trajectory

Bryan BarberenaGerald Meerschaert
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
6 (16%)
2 (11%)
Submission
29 (78%)
5 (28%)
Decision
2 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Gerald Meerschaert64%
Bryan Barberena 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gerald Meerschaert a 64% favorite over Bryan Barberena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1634), separated by just 7 points.

Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Gerald Meerschaert 95%.

Gerald Meerschaert carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.