Bryan Barberena vs Jason Witt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record19-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"Reach70"
185 lbsWeight180 lbs
Gym-OTeamGlory MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Bryan Barberena is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jason Witt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1638
If they lose-13→ 1614
If they win+13→ 1610
If they lose-11→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan BarberenaJason Witt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryan Barberena57%
Jason Witt 43%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryan Barberena a 57% favorite over Jason Witt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Bryan Barberena holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1597, a 30-point edge.
Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Jason Witt 61%.
Bryan Barberena carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.