Bryan Barberena vs Leon Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record22-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gym-OTeamTeam Renegade
What's at stake
Leon Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Bryan Barberena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1644
If they lose-7→ 1620
If they win+7→ 1803
If they lose-17→ 1779
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1780 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan BarberenaLeon Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leon Edwards89%
Bryan Barberena 11%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Leon Edwards a 89% favorite over Bryan Barberena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Leon Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1796 to 1627, a 169-point edge.
Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Leon Edwards 45%.
Bryan Barberena and Leon Edwards share 2 common opponents: Gunnar Nelson and Rafael dos Anjos.
Leon Edwards carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.