Bryan Barberena vs Makhmud Muradov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record30-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Makhmud Muradov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bryan Barberena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-8→ 1619
If they win+8→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bryan BarberenaMakhmud Muradov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Makhmud Muradov67%
Bryan Barberena 33%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 67% favorite over Bryan Barberena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Makhmud Muradov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1627, a 112-point edge.
Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 73%.
Bryan Barberena and Makhmud Muradov share 1 common opponent: Gerald Meerschaert.
Makhmud Muradov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.