Bryan Barberena vs Makhmud Muradov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record28-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gym-OTeamAnkos MMA
What's at stake
Makhmud Muradov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Bryan Barberena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1642
If they lose-9→ 1618
If they win+9→ 1732
If they lose-15→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan BarberenaMakhmud Muradov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Makhmud Muradov75%
Bryan Barberena 25%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 75% favorite over Bryan Barberena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Makhmud Muradov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1627, a 96-point edge.
Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Makhmud Muradov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 75%.
Bryan Barberena and Makhmud Muradov share 1 common opponent: Gerald Meerschaert.
Makhmud Muradov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.