Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryan Barberena vs Randy Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randy Brown
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Randy Brown

“Rude Boy”

20-8-0WelterweightUFC

1742Good

Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record20-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
72"Reach78"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gym-OTeamBudokan Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

Randy Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bryan Barberena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bryan BarberenaNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-8→ 1619
Randy BrownNow 1742
If they win+8→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.35
Sig. strikes / min
4.49
48%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
44%
Strike defense
54%
0.13
Takedown avg.
0.76
22%
Takedown accuracy
39%
50%
Takedown defense
73%
0.27
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Bryan BarberenaRandy Brown
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
2 (11%)
Submission
5 (25%)
5 (28%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Brown79%
Bryan Barberena 21%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Brown a 79% favorite over Bryan Barberena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Randy Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1627, a 115-point edge.

Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Randy Brown enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Randy Brown 65%.

Randy Brown carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.