Bryan Barberena vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record24-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
72"Reach75″
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gym-OTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Vicente Luque is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Bryan Barberena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1642
If they lose-9→ 1618
If they win+9→ 1716
If they lose-15→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan BarberenaVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Luque92%
Bryan Barberena 8%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Luque a 92% favorite over Bryan Barberena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Vicente Luque holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1627, a 80-point edge.
Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Bryan Barberena and Vicente Luque share 1 common opponent: Rafael dos Anjos.
Vicente Luque carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.