Bryan Barberena vs Warlley Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
72"Reach72,0"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Gym-OTeamRizzo RVT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan BarberenaWarlley Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryan Barberena53%
Warlley Alves 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryan Barberena a 53% favorite over Warlley Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1625), separated by just 2 points.
Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Warlley Alves enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Bryan Barberena finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Warlley Alves 71%.
Bryan Barberena and Warlley Alves share 1 common opponent: Randy Brown.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.