Bryan Caraway vs Eddie Wineland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-0Record24-16-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamDuneland Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Bryan Caraway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Eddie Wineland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1693
If they lose-14→ 1669
If they win+14→ 1627
If they lose-10→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryan CarawayEddie Wineland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryan Caraway70%
Eddie Wineland 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryan Caraway a 70% favorite over Eddie Wineland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Bryan Caraway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1613, a 70-point edge.
Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bryan Caraway finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Eddie Wineland 83%.
Bryan Caraway and Eddie Wineland share 2 common opponents: Cody Stamann and Takeya Mizugaki.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.