Bryce Mitchell vs Charles Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record19-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Barata MMATeamAmerican Combat Gym
What's at stake
Bryce Mitchell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charles Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1787
If they lose-21→ 1755
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-8→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryce MitchellCharles Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryce Mitchell87%
Charles Rosa 13%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Mitchell a 87% favorite over Charles Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Bryce Mitchell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1776 to 1666, a 110-point edge.
Bryce Mitchell enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Bryce Mitchell finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Charles Rosa 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.