Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Mitchell vs Daniel Marcos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record18-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Barata MMATeamLos Perros Sarnosos

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce MitchellNow 1776
If they win+16→ 1792
If they lose-16→ 1760
Daniel MarcosNow 1767
If they win+16→ 1783
If they lose-16→ 1751

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
5.11
59%
Strike accuracy
54%
1.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
59%
Strike defense
62%
3.24
Takedown avg.
0.99
36%
Takedown accuracy
46%
33%
Takedown defense
85%
1.19
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bryce MitchellDaniel Marcos
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
10 (53%)
Submission
1 (6%)
8 (42%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryce Mitchell59%
Daniel Marcos 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Mitchell a 59% favorite over Daniel Marcos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1776 vs 1767), separated by just 9 points.

Bryce Mitchell enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bryce Mitchell finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Marcos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.