Combat Edge Intelligence

Bryce Mitchell vs Henry Cejudo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record16-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'4"
70"Reach64"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Barata MMATeamFight Ready

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bryce MitchellNow 1776
If they win+16→ 1792
If they lose-16→ 1760
Henry CejudoNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1782 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.83
59%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.84
59%
Strike defense
57%
3.24
Takedown avg.
1.78
36%
Takedown accuracy
22%
33%
Takedown defense
72%
1.19
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Bryce MitchellHenry Cejudo
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
10 (53%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (42%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryce Mitchell71%
Henry Cejudo 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Mitchell a 71% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1776 vs 1770), separated by just 6 points.

Bryce Mitchell enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bryce Mitchell finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Henry Cejudo 50%.

Bryce Mitchell carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.