Bryce Mitchell vs José Aldo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record32-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Barata MMATeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1792
If they lose-16→ 1760
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1700 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bryce MitchellJosé Aldo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bryce Mitchell71%
José Aldo 29%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Mitchell a 71% favorite over José Aldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans José Aldo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1776 vs 1781), separated by just 5 points.
Bryce Mitchell enters on a 2-fight win streak.
José Aldo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bryce Mitchell finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, José Aldo 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.