Combat Edge Intelligence

Bubba Bush vs Garreth McLellan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bubba Bush
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Bubba Bush

“The Fightin' Texas Aggie”

8-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach72,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazos Valley MMATeamFightFit Militia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bubba BushNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Garreth McLellanNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.63
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
56%
Strike accuracy
54%
7.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
26%
Strike defense
45%
2.82
Takedown avg.
1.15
50%
Takedown accuracy
22%
60%
Takedown defense
35%
0
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Bubba BushGarreth McLellan
155016002013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
3 (38%)
Submission
9 (69%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Bubba Bush64%
Garreth McLellan 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bubba Bush a 64% favorite over Garreth McLellan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1583), separated by just 6 points.

Bubba Bush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Bubba Bush finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Garreth McLellan 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.