Bubba Bush vs Garreth McLellan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach72,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brazos Valley MMATeamFightFit Militia
What's at stake
Bubba Bush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Garreth McLellan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1625
If they lose-17→ 1593
If they win+17→ 1601
If they lose-15→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bubba BushGarreth McLellan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Garreth McLellan57%
Bubba Bush 43%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Garreth McLellan a 57% favorite over Bubba Bush in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bubba Bush's way (46%).
Bubba Bush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1610 to 1584, a 26-point edge.
Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Bubba Bush finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Garreth McLellan 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.