Cássio Barão vs James Wallace
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-1Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach69,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Dyogo Teles MMATeamFisher's Bang Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cássio BarãoJames Wallace
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cássio Barão59%
James Wallace 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cássio Barão a 59% favorite over James Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1622), separated by just 0 points.
James Wallace enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cássio Barão finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, James Wallace 89%.
Cássio Barão carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.