Cédrick Bégin vs Valentino Greco
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Cédrick Bégin68%
Valentino Greco 32%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Cédrick Bégin a 68% favorite over Valentino Greco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Valentino Greco's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1443 vs 1447), separated by just 4 points.
Cédrick Bégin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Valentino Greco enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record1-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11''Height6'0"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1467
If they lose-24→ 1419
If they win+24→ 1471
If they lose-24→ 1423
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cédrick BéginValentino Greco