Caden Cox vs Noah Hermosillo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record1-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
70.9"Reach-
146 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamAmerican Top Team Happy Valley
What's at stake
Caden Cox is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Noah Hermosillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1577
If they lose-26→ 1529
If they win+26→ 1552
If they lose-22→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caden CoxNoah Hermosillo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Noah Hermosillo53%
Caden Cox 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Noah Hermosillo a 53% favorite over Caden Cox in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Caden Cox's way (46%).
Caden Cox holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1555 to 1526, a 29-point edge.
Caden Cox enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.