Cain Velasquez vs Fabrício Werdum
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record24-10-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
77"Reach45,0"
241 lbsWeight246 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamWerdum Combat Team
What's at stake
Fabrício Werdum is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cain Velasquez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1756
If they lose-13→ 1724
If they win+10→ 1813
If they lose-14→ 1789
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cain VelasquezFabrício Werdum
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cain Velasquez and Fabrício Werdum within a point of even.
Fabrício Werdum holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1803 to 1737, a 66-point edge.
Cain Velasquez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Fabrício Werdum 75%.
Cain Velasquez and Fabrício Werdum share 1 common opponent: Travis Browne.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.