Cain Velasquez vs Fabricio Werdum

Jun 13, 2015 · ESPN+

DateJun 13, 2015

DivisionHeavyweight Title

StatusScheduled

VenueMexico City Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, June 13, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Cain Velasquez14-3-0Cain Velasquez vs Fabricio WerdumFabrício WerdumVai Cavalo |24-10-1

Cain Velasquez14-3-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

14-3-0Record24-10-1

44Age49

6'1"Height6'4"

77"Reach45,0"

241 lbsWeight246 lbs

Heavyweight TitleWeight ClassHeavyweight Title

Fabrício WerdumVai Cavalo24-10-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Fabrício Werdum owns a 66-point Elo edge (great). Cain Velasquez shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Cain Velasquez and Fabrício Werdum across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Cain VelasquezFabrício Werdum

Recent form

Cain VelasquezL W L W W · +26 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Fabrício WerdumW L L W W · -1 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Elo edge

Cain Velasquez1736-21 last move

Fabrício Werdum1802+11 last move

Why they are ranked here

Cain VelasquezNot on the active ladder · 1736 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira (rated 1863 at the time): +48.
Costliest loss: Lost to Junior dos Santos (rated 1677 at the time): -32.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +26 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1646, not 1736: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Fabrício WerdumNot on the active ladder · 1802 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Cain Velasquez (rated 1754 at the time): +13.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alexander Volkov (rated 1776 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, -1 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1712, not 1802: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Cain VelasquezNow 1736

Wins by decision+19→ 1755

Loses by decision-13→ 1723

Fabrício WerdumNow 1802

Wins by decision+10→ 1812

Loses by decision-14→ 1788

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Cain VelasquezvsFabrício Werdum

Submission average

0.38vs1.16

Takedown average

5.13vs1.75

Takedown defense

86%vs32%

Sig. strikes landed per min

6.37vs3.59

Finishing profile

Cain VelasquezKO/TKO leads 86% of wins

Fabrício Werdumsubmission leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Junior dos SantosCain Velasquez: win · Slam & Punches · Oct 19, 2013Fabrício Werdum: loss · Decision · Sep 8, 2023

Ben RothwellCain Velasquez: win · Punches · Oct 24, 2009Fabrício Werdum: cancelled · May 13, 2017

Travis Browne Cain Velasquez: win · Ground & Pound · Jul 9, 2016Fabrício Werdum: win · Decision · Sep 10, 2016

Tale of the tape

Cain VelasquezFabrício Werdum

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.37Sig. strikes landed per min3.59

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

58Sig. strike accuracy52

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

2.33Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.64

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

57Sig. strike defense56

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

5.13Takedown average1.75

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

45Takedown accuracy32

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

86Takedown defense32

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

0.38Submission average1.16

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

12Wins by knockout6

0Wins by submission12

2Wins by decision6

2Losses by knockout3

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision7

Cain Velasquez vs Fabricio Werdum is a scheduled Heavyweight Title fight on UFC 188 : VELASQUEZ VS WERDUM. Cain Velasquez enters with a 14-3-0 record and Fabrício Werdum enters with a 24-10-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.