Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Borralho vs Ikram Aliskerov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record18-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1681 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caio BorralhoNow 1789
If they win+16→ 1805
If they lose-16→ 1773
Ikram AliskerovNow 1779
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
6.86
56%
Strike accuracy
65%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.47
60%
Strike defense
41%
1.28
Takedown avg.
3.20
48%
Takedown accuracy
60%
77%
Takedown defense
100%
0.43
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Caio BorralhoIkram Aliskerov
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
4 (22%)
Submission
5 (28%)
9 (50%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Caio Borralho and Ikram Aliskerov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1789 vs 1779), separated by just 10 points.

Ikram Aliskerov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ikram Aliskerov 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.