Caio Borralho vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record18-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1704 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1805
If they lose-21→ 1773
If they win+21→ 1714
If they lose-11→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1763 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caio BorralhoJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Borralho75%
Jared Cannonier 25%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 75% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1794 to 1693, a 101-point edge.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Caio Borralho and Jared Cannonier share 1 common opponent: Nassourdine Imavov.
Jared Cannonier carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.