Caio Borralho vs Michał Oleksiejczuk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fighting NerdsTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow
What's at stake
Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Michał Oleksiejczuk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1801
If they lose-20→ 1769
If they win+15→ 1720
If they lose-9→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caio BorralhoMichał Oleksiejczuk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Borralho67%
Michał Oleksiejczuk 33%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 67% favorite over Michał Oleksiejczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1705, a 84-point edge.
Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.
Caio Borralho and Michał Oleksiejczuk share 1 common opponent: Abus Magomedov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.