Caio Machado vs Mick Parkin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-1Record10-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach 79"
205 lbsWeight263 lbs
What's at stake
Mick Parkin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Caio Machado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1591
If they lose-9→ 1567
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-20→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caio MachadoMick Parkin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mick Parkin69%
Caio Machado 31%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Mick Parkin a 69% favorite over Caio Machado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Mick Parkin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1576, a 89-point edge.
Mick Parkin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Caio Machado finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Mick Parkin 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.