Cal Worsham vs Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-10-0Record8-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight252 lbs
Worsham Team XTeamFactory 84
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1491
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cal WorshamPaul-Emmanuel Gnaze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze57%
Cal Worsham 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze a 57% favorite over Cal Worsham in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cal Worsham's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1503), separated by just 4 points.
Cal Worsham enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cal Worsham finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul-Emmanuel Gnaze 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.