Caleb Woodside vs Edmund Kwan
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Edmund Kwan52%
Caleb Woodside 48%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Edmund Kwan a 52% favorite over Caleb Woodside in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Caleb Woodside's way (46%).
Caleb Woodside holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1594 to 1565, a 29-point edge.
Caleb Woodside enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Caleb Woodside finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Edmund Kwan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record5-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wolves' Den Training CenterTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1626 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Caleb Woodside is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Edmund Kwan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1616
If they lose-26→ 1568
If they win+26→ 1591
If they lose-22→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1473 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caleb WoodsideEdmund Kwan