Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Connor vs Piero Guaylupo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record12-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-Reach-
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamLos Perros Sarnosos

What's at stake

Piero Guaylupo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Callum Connor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Callum ConnorNow 1663
If they win+28→ 1691
If they lose-20→ 1643
Piero GuaylupoNow 1720
If they win+13→ 1733
If they lose-19→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Callum ConnorPiero Guaylupo
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
11 (92%)
1 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Piero Guaylupo71%
Callum Connor 29%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Piero Guaylupo a 71% favorite over Callum Connor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Piero Guaylupo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1663, a 57-point edge.

Callum Connor enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Piero Guaylupo enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Callum Connor finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Piero Guaylupo 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.