Callum Connor vs Piero Guaylupo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record13-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
73"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamLos Perros Sarnosos
What's at stake
Piero Guaylupo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Callum Connor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1670
If they lose-18→ 1622
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-20→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Callum ConnorPiero Guaylupo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Piero Guaylupo71%
Callum Connor 29%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Piero Guaylupo a 71% favorite over Callum Connor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Piero Guaylupo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1640, a 93-point edge.
Piero Guaylupo enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Callum Connor finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Piero Guaylupo 85%.
Callum Connor carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.