Piero Guaylupo vs Callum Connor

DateSep 22, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, September 22, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 9:00 AM
Your time

Piero GuaylupoEl Lobo |12-0-0Piero Guaylupo vs Callum ConnorCallum Connor007 |8-0-0

Piero GuaylupoEl Lobo12-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

12-0-0Record8-0-0

21AgeTBD

5'9"Height6'0"

-Reach-

155 lbsWeight156 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Callum Connor0078-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Piero Guaylupo owns a 57-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Piero Guaylupo and Callum Connor across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Piero GuaylupoCallum Connor

Recent form

Piero GuaylupoW W W W W · +82 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Callum ConnorW W W W W · +84 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Piero Guaylupo1720+9 last move

Callum Connor1663+15 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

87%Piero Guaylupo13%Callum Connor

Model favoritePiero Guaylupo

Elo baseline58% for Piero Guaylupo

Matchup adjustment+29 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Piero GuaylupoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Piero Guaylupo leads the full model at 87%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 29 points.

Current Elo ratings1720 · 1663Piero Guaylupo leads by 57 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1511 · 1484Piero Guaylupo faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 8 sampled fights).

Elo record depth11 · 8 fightsPiero Guaylupo has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Piero GuaylupovsCallum Connor

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Piero GuaylupoKO/TKO leads 92% of wins

Callum ConnorKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Piero GuaylupoCallum Connor

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.84

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

11Wins by knockout5

0Wins by submission1

1Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Piero Guaylupo vs Callum Connor is a scheduled Lightweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 7. Piero Guaylupo enters with a 12-0-0 record and Callum Connor enters with a 8-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.