Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Charlie Ontiveros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record11-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
-Reach74"
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495
Charlie OntiverosNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
TBD
Strike defense
31%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
30%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Callum HaughianCharlie Ontiveros
150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (20%)
1 (50%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian63%
Charlie Ontiveros 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 63% favorite over Charlie Ontiveros in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Charlie Ontiveros's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1521), separated by just 2 points.

Charlie Ontiveros enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Charlie Ontiveros 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.