Cally de Oliveira vs Ryugo Takeuchi
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ryugo Takeuchi54%
Cally de Oliveira 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryugo Takeuchi a 54% favorite over Cally de Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cally de Oliveira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1545), separated by just 1 points.
Ryugo Takeuchi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cally de Oliveira finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryugo Takeuchi 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record5-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75.6"Reach75"
243 lbsWeight215 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cally de OliveiraRyugo Takeuchi