Calvin Kattar vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record21-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach72″
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Carlos Neto BJJTeamFirst Fight Center
What's at stake
Renato Moicano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Calvin Kattar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1711
If they lose-10→ 1687
If they win+10→ 1753
If they lose-14→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Calvin KattarRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renato Moicano72%
Calvin Kattar 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 72% favorite over Calvin Kattar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Renato Moicano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1697, a 46-point edge.
Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Calvin Kattar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.